Ithaca Cricket Ump wrote:Stefan HSQBRankovich wrote:Plus, saying "he would be just as good as one of the ~5 best players of all time with six months of preparation!" is preposterous in any activity with any modicum of history.
It would depend on the exact format, but even in quizbowl, the result of 10 solo matches between the two would most likely be 5-5, or 6-4 one way or the other. It's not, by any means, the mismatch Will implied it would be in his post. Considering that I'm pretty much the one person here who's seen BOTH of these guys play numerous times (in other words, the one person posting here who's actually IN A POSITION TO KNOW), you might want to consider giving a bit of credence to my opinion here.
I didn't see this thread until today. I'm one person who has
played both Steve (while he was at Rhodes and UVA, as well as once in an online contest in the past couple years) and MattJax (Yale, obviously) multiple times- my career had a 14-year gap between undergrad and going back for my teaching certification.
I find the idea that Steve could split 5-5 against Matt at quizbowl after only 6 months of prep to be utterly laughable.
Steve is very talented, certainly- along with John Kenney and Eliot Brenner, he's one of the mid-Atlantic players circa 2000 who immediately comes to mind as being able to do quite well in the modern game given adjustment time. If he were suddenly able to play ACF Nats 2016 as a free agent, I don't think there's a team out there who wouldn't want him aboard (with the possible exception of Michigan, depending on their specialists). But as a friend says, people optimize for the game that they spend the most time on, whether it be quizbowl, Learned League, WQC, pub trivia, or something else. And quizbowl has changed a great deal in the past 10-15 years. People have access to study methods and resources that players in the late-90s could only dream about. On an absolute scale, the top high school players and the average college players are much better.
Most of all, the questions have gotten harder. Have you moderated at ACF Nats (or CO) lately? I don't think it's possible for any player who's been gone for over a decade to dominate with only 6 months of study time. I played against MattJax at ICT and Nats in 2014. While I believe Matt would give a lot of credit to his teammates- Jacob, Grace, and Ashvin are each fine players in their own right- he was clearly the big dog on that team.
Let's take a look at UVA at the start of '13-'14. There's Matt Bollinger, who at the start of the year was already considered the best active player in the game and known for his legendary study binges. The end of the '12-'13 season hit him hard enough that when I heard about his prep for the '14 championship tournaments, I asked him if we were going to see him go Rocky IV and raise his fists screaming "JAAAAACCCKKKKSSSOOOONNNN!!!!" from the top of a snowy mountain. Tommy Casalaspi was the #2 and would have been the #1 seat on almost any other team. Evan Adams, our #3, was the top scorer at ICT when he was at VCU and had gotten significantly better in the three years since. Everyone on that team spent more than six months studying hard for 2014 ICT/Nats. By the time ICT rolled around, I thought that Tommy was probably the #2 science player in the country and that MattBo had potentially hit the highest individual level of absolute skill (as opposed to dominance against contemporaries) that the game had ever seen.
For all that, we beat Yale by a tossup in the ICT playoffs, 5 points in the finals of ICT, and by a roughly 2-tossup margin at Nats. I don't think you realize just how tough the game has gotten in the past few years and how good MattJax and other top quizbowlers are.
If both were motivated, then I would expect that after 6 months on Nats or Nats-minus level questions, a series between the two would more likely end 9-1 in favor of Matt rather than a 5-5 split. I put in the motivation caveat because I believe Matt is taking a lengthy vacation from anything quizbowl after his editing efforts last spring.